Wednesday, November 22, 2023

2023: Week 12

We finally got there!  It only took 12 weeks. Washington is on top!

I used the default values (again) and the upset results are actually worse than last week, both in percentage of upsets and margin of victory points:

Ranking Stats

Upsets: 714 of 4027 games (17.730320337720386%)
Margins of Victory in upsets: 7695 (9.175241751821336% of total margin points)

The entire top 25 now consists of actual good D1 schools.  Here we go:

  1. Washington
  2. Oregon
  3. Texas
  4. Ohio State
  5. Louisville
  6. Florida St
  7. Michigan
  8. Kansas St
  9. Oklahoma
  10. Penn State
  11. Oregon St
  12. Arizona
  13. Notre Dame
  14. Oklahoma St
  15. Georgia
  16. Alabama
  17. Kansas
  18. North Carolina
  19. Clemson
  20. Duke
  21. Southern Cal
  22. UCLA
  23. Iowa
  24. North Carolina St
  25. Missouri

It's plainly obvious that I have a lot of work to do to 

  • Improve the interface
  • Improve the algorithm
  • Incorporate overtime

I'm really glad it actually converges, even if this year it took nearly all year to do so.  I don't think it took this long in years past.  Perhaps now there's less overlap between D1 and D2 schools. 

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