Tuesday, October 24, 2023

2023: Week 8

Eight weeks in and we're finally getting reasonable results.  (I didn't post either of the previous two weeks because I got bad results again.)

I used the default values (35 max point difference and a square root curve) and got quick rankings, that resulted in much better stats:

Ranking Stats

Upsets: 473 of 2789 games (16.95948368590893%)
Margins of Victory in upsets: 4823 (8.253191416544029% of total margin points)

This results in the following top 25 rankings:

  1. Slippery Rock
  2. Shepherd
  3. Kutztown
  4. California PA
  5. East Stroudsburg
  6. Indiana PA
  7. Assumption
  8. Millersville
  9. Texas
  10. Florida State
  11. Ohio State
  12. Lock Haven
  13. Penn State
  14. New Haven
  15. West Chester
  16. St Anselm
  17. Alabama
  18. Shippensburg
  19. Gannon
  20. Oklahoma
  21. Bentley
  22. Kansas St
  23. Washington
  24. Oregon State
  25. Notre Dame

Try it out yourself at: http://kyleburke.info/collegeFootball/cfbRanking.php.  Can you find settings that get better results?

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